REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 55360 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 16% slower than plan

Finished 19:5936h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 7h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:332h3410:432h44+38m11:003h00 +26m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:305h3013:405h40+47m14:206h20 +50m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:526h5215:017h02+48m16:008h00 +1h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:1010h1018:3010h30+1h0719:4011h40 +1h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:5412h5421:1413h14+1h0622:4014h40 +1h46+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:1016h1000:5016h50+1h5102:1018h10 +2h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:5018h5103:0019h01+2h13none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:0820h0904:1820h19+2h1309:1025h10 +5h01+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:4923h5007:5924h00+2h4712:1028h10 +4h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:1226h1210:2126h22+3h2413:4529h45 +3h33+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4412:1628h1712:2728h27+3h3316:0032h00 +3h43+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2514:3430h3515:0431h05+4h0917:4033h40 +3h05+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0516:5032h5117:0033h01+4h4619:1035h10 +2h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2819:5936h00+5h3222:0038h00 +2h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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