REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 5535 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 13% faster than plan

Finished 09:5926h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 17h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:371h3809:471h48-18m11:003h00 +1h22+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:104h1012:204h20-33m14:206h20 +2h10+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:415h4213:515h52-22m16:008h00 +2h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:098h1016:208h20-54m19:4011h40 +3h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:0710h07-1h4122:4014h40 +4h33+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:1912h20-1h5902:1018h10 +5h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:1714h1722:2614h27-2h20none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:2215h2323:3215h33-2h3309:1025h10 +9h47+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:0918h1002:2018h20-2h5412:1028h10 +10h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:3219h3203:4219h42-3h1613:4529h45 +10h13+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4404:5921h0005:0921h10-3h4416:0032h00 +11h00+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2506:1922h20-4h0617:4033h40 +11h20+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0507:4823h4907:5823h59-4h1619:1035h10 +11h21+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2809:5926h00-4h2822:0038h00 +12h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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