REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 55304 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 27% slower than plan

Finished 23:2039h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 3h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:332h3410:532h54+38m11:003h00 +26m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:525h5314:136h13+1h1014:206h20 +27m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:417h4215:517h51+1h3816:008h00 +18m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0319:0211h0219:2211h23+1h5919:4011h40 +38m+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:3314h3422:5314h54+2h4522:4014h40 +6m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1902:0018h0002:1018h10+3h4102:1018h10 +10m+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3704:5520h5605:0621h06+4h19none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5606:4222h4307:0323h03+4h4709:1025h10 +2h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0310:3926h4010:5927h00+5h3612:1028h10 +1h30+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4912:5228h5213:1229h12+6h0413:4529h45 +53m+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4415:1631h1715:2731h27+6h3316:0032h00 +43m+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2517:3833h3817:5733h58+7h1317:4033h40 +2m+time
! Oberg95.412:0428h0519:4035h4120:2036h21+7h3619:1035h10 -31m+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2823:2039h20+8h5322:0038h00 -1h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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