REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 55080 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 9% faster than plan

Finished 11:0927h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 16h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:132h14+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:304h3012:504h50-13m14:206h20 +1h50+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:016h0214:126h12-2m16:008h00 +1h58+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:298h3016:398h40-33m19:4011h40 +3h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:4610h46-1h0222:4014h40 +3h54+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:2013h20-59m02:1018h10 +4h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:2715h28-1h09none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:3316h3300:4316h43-1h2209:1025h10 +8h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:0019h00-2h0312:1028h10 +9h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:3820h3804:4820h48-2h1013:4529h45 +9h07+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:1722h1806:2722h28-2h2616:0032h00 +9h42+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:5423h5508:1524h15-2h3117:4033h40 +9h45+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0509:1725h1809:2825h28-2h4719:1035h10 +9h52+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2811:0927h10-3h1822:0038h00 +10h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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