REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 54595 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 7% faster than plan

Finished 12:1928h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 14h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:022h0310:122h12+7m11:003h00 +57m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:274h28-16m14:206h20 +1h52+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:315h3213:415h42-32m16:008h00 +2h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:008h0016:308h30-1h0319:4011h40 +3h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:0311h0419:1311h14-45m22:4014h40 +3h36+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:3013h3021:4013h40-49m02:1018h10 +4h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:5015h5000:0116h01-47mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:5917h0001:0917h09-56m09:1025h10 +8h10+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:4919h4903:5819h59-1h1412:1028h10 +8h21+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4905:4221h4205:5221h53-1h0613:4529h45 +8h03+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4407:3923h40-1h0416:0032h00 +8h20+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2508:5924h5909:0925h09-1h2617:4033h40 +8h41+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0510:2026h2010:2926h30-1h4419:1035h10 +8h50+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2812:1928h20-2h0822:0038h00 +9h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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