REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 54560 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running at plan pace

Finished 14:0030h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 13h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:471h47-9m11:003h00 +1h13+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:174h17-26m14:206h20 +2h03+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:315h3213:415h41-32m16:008h00 +2h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:008h00-1h0319:4011h40 +3h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:4610h4719:0611h06-1h0222:4014h40 +3h53+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:1913h2021:2913h30-59m02:1018h10 +4h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:2515h26-1h11none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:4316h4300:5216h53-1h1209:1025h10 +8h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:5919h5904:0920h09-1h0412:1028h10 +8h11+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4905:4221h4206:0222h02-1h0613:4529h45 +8h03+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4407:3923h40-1h0416:0032h00 +8h20+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2509:1825h1909:3825h39-1h0717:4033h40 +8h21+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0511:0027h0111:1027h11-1h0419:1035h10 +8h09+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2814:0030h00-27m22:0038h00 +8h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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