REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 54378 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 4% slower than plan

Finished 15:1931h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 11h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:232h2410:332h33+28m11:003h00 +36m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:305h3013:405h41+47m14:206h20 +50m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:556h56+52m16:008h00 +1h04+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:299h3017:409h40+27m19:4011h40 +2h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:5311h5420:0412h04+5m22:4014h40 +2h46+time
Finland50.622:1814h1922:0914h10-9m02:1018h10 +4h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3700:2116h2100:3016h31-16mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5601:4717h4801:5717h57-8m09:1025h10 +7h22+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0304:5921h0005:0921h10-3m12:1028h10 +7h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4906:5822h59+10m13:4529h45 +6h46+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4409:0625h0609:2625h26+23m16:0032h00 +6h54+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2511:0727h0811:2727h27+42m17:4033h40 +6h32+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0512:4828h4813:0829h09+44m19:1035h10 +6h22+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2815:1931h20+52m22:0038h00 +6h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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