REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 54049 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 25% slower than plan

Finished 22:5939h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 4h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:332h33+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:365h3613:455h46+53m14:206h20 +44m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:117h1215:327h32+1h0816:008h00 +48m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0319:1911h2019:3011h30+2h1719:4011h40 +20m+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:2614h2722:3714h37+2h3822:4014h40 +14m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1901:1817h1901:2917h29+3h0002:1018h10 +51m+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:5019h5104:1020h11+3h13none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:3221h3305:5321h53+3h3709:1025h10 +3h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:5025h5010:1926h20+4h4712:1028h10 +2h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4912:5228h5213:1229h12+6h0413:4529h45 +53m+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4415:3631h3715:4631h47+6h5316:0032h00 +23m+time
! Sawbill89.910:2526h2517:5433h5518:1434h15+7h2917:4033h40 -15m+time
! Oberg95.412:0428h0520:0036h0120:2136h21+7h5619:1035h10 -51m+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2822:5939h00+8h3222:0038h00 -1h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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