REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 53745 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 17% faster than plan

Finished 08:4924h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 18h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:231h2309:331h33-33m11:003h00 +1h37+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:004h0012:104h10-43m14:206h20 +2h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:125h1213:215h22-52m16:008h00 +2h48+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:497h5015:598h00-1h1419:4011h40 +3h50+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:449h4417:549h55-2h0422:4014h40 +4h56+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:2911h3019:4011h40-2h4902:1018h10 +6h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3721:1413h1521:2413h25-3h23none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5622:3314h3322:4214h43-3h2209:1025h10 +10h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0301:1917h1901:4917h49-3h4412:1028h10 +10h51+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4902:3918h39-4h0913:4529h45 +11h06+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4403:5919h59-4h4416:0032h00 +12h01+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2505:2821h2905:4821h48-4h5717:4033h40 +12h11+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0506:5822h59-5h0619:1035h10 +12h11+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2808:4924h50-5h3822:0038h00 +13h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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