REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 53607 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 14% slower than plan

Finished 18:5034h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 8h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:242h24+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:065h0613:155h16+23m14:206h20 +1h14+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:316h3214:426h42+28m16:008h00 +1h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:309h3017:409h40+27m19:4011h40 +2h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:3312h3420:5312h54+46m22:4014h40 +2h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:0915h1023:1915h20+51m02:1018h10 +3h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:0018h0002:1118h11+1h23none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:3819h3903:4819h48+1h4309:1025h10 +5h31+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:0923h0907:1923h20+2h0612:1028h10 +5h01+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:1225h1309:3225h32+2h2413:4529h45 +4h32+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:2627h2611:3627h36+2h4316:0032h00 +4h34+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2513:3529h3513:5429h55+3h1017:4033h40 +4h05+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0515:5031h5116:0132h01+3h4619:1035h10 +3h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2818:5034h50+4h2322:0038h00 +3h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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