REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 52836 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 12% faster than plan

Finished 10:1926h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 16h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:371h38-18m11:003h00 +1h22+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:473h48-56m14:206h20 +2h32+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:075h07-57m16:008h00 +2h53+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:598h0016:098h10-1h0419:4011h40 +3h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:2310h2418:3410h34-1h2522:4014h40 +4h16+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:1912h20-1h5902:1018h10 +5h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:0414h0522:1514h15-2h32none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:2715h2823:4815h48-2h2809:1025h10 +9h42+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:1118h12-2h5212:1028h10 +9h58+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:2819h2803:3819h38-3h2013:4529h45 +10h17+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:0921h09-3h3416:0032h00 +10h51+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2506:4422h4506:5422h55-3h4117:4033h40 +10h55+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0508:1124h1108:2024h21-3h5319:1035h10 +10h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2810:1926h20-4h0822:0038h00 +11h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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