REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 52247 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 19% faster than plan

Finished 08:2924h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 18h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:371h37-19m11:003h00 +1h23+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:563h56-47m14:206h20 +2h24+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:474h47-1h1616:008h00 +3h13+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:117h1115:207h21-1h5219:4011h40 +4h29+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:139h1417:249h24-2h3522:4014h40 +5h26+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:1011h1019:3111h31-3h0902:1018h10 +7h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3721:1813h18-3h19none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5622:2214h2322:3314h34-3h3309:1025h10 +10h47+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0301:0917h10-3h5312:1028h10 +11h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4902:2818h2802:3818h39-4h2013:4529h45 +11h17+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4404:0020h00-4h4316:0032h00 +12h00+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2505:1921h2005:2921h30-5h0617:4033h40 +12h20+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0506:3822h38-5h2719:1035h10 +12h32+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2808:2924h30-5h5822:0038h00 +13h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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