REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 52215 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 13% faster than plan

Finished 10:2026h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 16h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:032h04-2m11:003h00 +1h06+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:474h47+4m14:206h20 +1h33+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:515h5214:026h02-12m16:008h00 +2h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:508h5017:009h01-13m19:4011h40 +2h50+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:0611h07-42m22:4014h40 +3h33+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:1013h10-1h0902:1018h10 +5h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:1015h1023:2015h21-1h27none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:2116h2100:3116h31-1h3409:1025h10 +8h49+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:5318h5403:0319h03-2h0912:1028h10 +9h16+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:2920h29-2h1913:4529h45 +9h16+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:5922h00-2h4416:0032h00 +10h00+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:0923h10-3h1617:4033h40 +10h30+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0508:3924h3908:4824h49-3h2519:1035h10 +10h31+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2810:2026h20-4h0722:0038h00 +11h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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