REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 52212 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 9% slower than plan

Finished 17:2033h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:152h1610:352h35+20m11:003h00 +44m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:105h1113:205h21+27m14:206h20 +1h09+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:416h4214:516h52+38m16:008h00 +1h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:409h4017:499h50+37m19:4011h40 +2h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:3312h3420:4312h44+45m22:4014h40 +2h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1922:5915h0023:3915h40+41m02:1018h10 +3h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:3017h3001:4017h41+53mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:0319h0303:1319h13+1h0809:1025h10 +6h07+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:2922h3006:4022h40+1h2612:1028h10 +5h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:1224h1208:3224h32+1h2413:4529h45 +5h33+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:4626h4710:5626h57+2h0316:0032h00 +5h13+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:4428h4512:5428h54+2h1917:4033h40 +4h55+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:4130h4114:5030h51+2h3719:1035h10 +4h29+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2817:2033h20+2h5322:0038h00 +4h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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