REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 52086 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 11% slower than plan

Finished 18:1034h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:232h24+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:405h4013:495h50+57m14:206h20 +40m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:227h2215:327h32+1h1816:008h00 +38m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:4910h5019:0011h00+1h4619:4011h40 +50m+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:3313h3421:4313h44+1h4622:4014h40 +1h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:2016h2000:2916h30+2h0102:1018h10 +1h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:1319h1303:3319h33+2h36none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:3220h3304:4320h43+2h3709:1025h10 +4h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:4923h4907:5823h59+2h4612:1028h10 +4h21+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:4225h4309:5225h53+2h5413:4529h45 +4h02+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:5827h5912:0828h08+3h1516:0032h00 +4h01+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2514:0430h0514:2430h25+3h3917:4033h40 +3h35+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0516:0032h0016:1032h10+3h5619:1035h10 +3h10+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2818:1034h10+3h4322:0038h00 +3h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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