REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 52016 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 9% slower than plan

Finished 17:4933h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:232h24-2m11:003h00 +1h06+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:205h2013:405h40+37m14:206h20 +1h00+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:576h5715:067h07+53m16:008h00 +1h03+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:1010h1018:4910h50+1h0719:4011h40 +1h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:2613h2621:3513h36+1h3822:4014h40 +1h14+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:3515h3523:4415h45+1h1602:1018h10 +2h35+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:0018h0002:1018h11+1h23none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:2219h2303:3319h33+1h2709:1025h10 +5h47+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:0923h1007:1923h20+2h0612:1028h10 +5h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:5924h5909:0925h10+2h1113:4529h45 +4h46+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:0727h0811:1727h18+2h2416:0032h00 +4h52+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:5928h5913:0929h09+2h3417:4033h40 +4h41+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:5830h5915:1931h19+2h5419:1035h10 +4h11+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2817:4933h50+3h2222:0038h00 +4h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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