REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 51925 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 17% faster than plan

Finished 08:5024h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 18h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:351h3509:451h45-21m11:003h00 +1h25+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:473h47-56m14:206h20 +2h33+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:574h57-1h0716:008h00 +3h03+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:107h11-1h5319:4011h40 +4h29+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:289h28-2h2022:4014h40 +5h12+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:2011h2019:2911h30-2h5902:1018h10 +6h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3721:1013h1121:2013h20-3h27none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5622:1814h19-3h3709:1025h10 +10h51+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0301:0717h0801:1717h17-3h5612:1028h10 +11h02+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4902:2818h28-4h2013:4529h45 +11h17+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4403:5920h0004:1920h20-4h4416:0032h00 +12h00+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2505:5421h5506:0422h04-4h3117:4033h40 +11h45+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0507:1123h1107:2123h21-4h5319:1035h10 +11h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2808:5024h50-5h3722:0038h00 +13h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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