REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 51789 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 18% slower than plan

Finished 20:2036h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 6h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:142h1410:432h43+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:235h2313:425h43+40m14:206h20 +57m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:017h0215:117h11+58m16:008h00 +58m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:2010h2018:4010h40+1h1719:4011h40 +1h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:3413h3421:5413h54+1h4622:4014h40 +1h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:3016h3000:5016h50+2h1102:1018h10 +1h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:0019h0103:2019h21+2h23none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:5220h5305:1221h13+2h5709:1025h10 +4h17+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:4924h5008:5925h00+3h4612:1028h10 +3h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:5226h5311:1227h12+4h0413:4529h45 +2h52+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:2629h2713:4729h47+4h4316:0032h00 +2h33+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2515:2431h2515:3431h34+4h5917:4033h40 +2h15+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0517:2033h2117:4033h41+5h1619:1035h10 +1h49+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2820:2036h20+5h5222:0038h00 +1h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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