REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 50189 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 3% slower than plan

Finished 15:3031h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 11h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:571h5810:272h28+2m11:003h00 +1h02+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:364h36-7m14:206h20 +1h44+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:515h5214:116h12-12m16:008h00 +2h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:408h41-23m19:4011h40 +2h59+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:2411h2419:3411h34-24m22:4014h40 +3h16+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:4013h4021:4913h50-38m02:1018h10 +4h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3700:0016h0000:1016h11-37mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5601:2217h2301:3217h33-33m09:1025h10 +7h47+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0305:2921h3005:4921h49+26m12:1028h10 +6h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4907:1823h19+30m13:4529h45 +6h26+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4409:1925h1909:3925h39+36m16:0032h00 +6h41+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2511:1127h1211:2127h21+47m17:4033h40 +6h28+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0513:0129h0113:1029h11+57m19:1035h10 +6h09+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2815:3031h30+1h0322:0038h00 +6h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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