REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 50004 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 10% faster than plan

Finished 10:4926h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 16h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:331h3409:441h44-22m11:003h00 +1h26+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:563h5712:074h07-47m14:206h20 +2h23+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:165h16-48m16:008h00 +2h44+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:297h3015:507h50-1h3319:4011h40 +4h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:569h57-1h5122:4014h40 +4h43+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:5912h00-2h1902:1018h10 +6h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3721:5613h57-2h41none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:1215h1323:2315h23-2h4309:1025h10 +9h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0302:0918h10-2h5412:1028h10 +10h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4903:5819h59-2h5013:4529h45 +9h46+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4405:3021h30-3h1316:0032h00 +10h30+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:0423h0407:1423h15-3h2117:4033h40 +10h36+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0508:3824h39-3h2619:1035h10 +10h31+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2810:4926h50-3h3822:0038h00 +11h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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