REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 49523 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 21% slower than plan

Finished 21:4937h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:551h5510:042h05-1m11:003h00 +1h05+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:494h5012:595h00+7m14:206h20 +1h30+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:316h3215:017h02+28m16:008h00 +1h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:1010h1018:4910h50+1h0719:4011h40 +1h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:5313h5422:0414h05+2h0522:4014h40 +46m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:3016h3000:4016h40+2h1102:1018h10 +1h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:2019h2103:3019h30+2h43none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:0321h0305:2221h23+3h0809:1025h10 +4h07+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:3925h4010:0026h00+4h3712:1028h10 +2h30+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4912:0228h0312:2228h23+5h1413:4529h45 +1h42+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4414:2630h2714:4630h47+5h4316:0032h00 +1h33+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2516:3432h3517:0533h05+6h0917:4033h40 +1h05+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0518:5734h5719:1735h18+6h5319:1035h10 +13m+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2821:4937h50+7h2222:0038h00 +10m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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