REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 49064 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 7% slower than plan

Finished 16:5032h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 10h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:132h14+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:295h3013:505h50+47m14:206h20 +50m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:027h0215:217h22+58m16:008h00 +58m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:2010h2019:0011h01+1h1719:4011h40 +1h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:3413h3421:4313h44+1h4622:4014h40 +1h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:1916h2000:2916h30+2h0102:1018h10 +1h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:3018h3102:5018h51+1h53none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:0720h0804:2720h27+2h1209:1025h10 +5h02+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:1923h2007:3023h30+2h1712:1028h10 +4h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:4924h4908:5924h59+2h0113:4529h45 +4h56+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:5626h5711:1627h17+2h1316:0032h00 +5h03+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:5428h5513:0429h04+2h2917:4033h40 +4h45+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:4630h4714:5630h57+2h4219:1035h10 +4h23+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2816:5032h50+2h2222:0038h00 +5h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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