REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 48753 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 7% faster than plan

Finished 12:1028h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:072h08+12m11:003h00 +52m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:204h2012:304h30-23m14:206h20 +2h00+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:415h4214:016h02-22m16:008h00 +2h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:408h4116:508h50-22m19:4011h40 +2h59+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:1211h13-35m22:4014h40 +3h27+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:1713h1821:2813h28-1h0102:1018h10 +4h52+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:1815h1823:2815h28-1h19none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:2816h2900:3816h38-1h2709:1025h10 +8h41+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:3919h40-1h2312:1028h10 +8h30+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:5820h59-1h5013:4529h45 +8h46+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:3622h3606:4522h46-2h0716:0032h00 +9h24+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2508:0424h0508:3424h35-2h2117:4033h40 +9h35+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0509:5825h59-2h0619:1035h10 +9h11+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2812:1028h10-2h1822:0038h00 +9h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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