REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 48752 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 20% slower than plan

Finished 21:0037h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 6h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:232h2410:342h34+28m11:003h00 +36m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:205h2013:405h40+37m14:206h20 +1h00+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:017h0215:217h22+58m16:008h00 +58m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:4010h4018:4910h50+1h3719:4011h40 +1h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:3413h3421:5313h54+1h4622:4014h40 +1h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:3016h3000:4016h40+2h1102:1018h10 +1h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:0019h0103:2019h20+2h23none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:3320h3304:4220h42+2h3809:1025h10 +4h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:1924h2008:3924h39+3h1612:1028h10 +3h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:2726h2810:4726h48+3h3913:4529h45 +3h17+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4412:4928h4913:2929h30+4h0616:0032h00 +3h11+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2515:3831h3916:1832h18+5h1317:4033h40 +2h01+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0518:0634h0718:2634h27+6h0219:1035h10 +1h03+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2821:0037h00+6h3322:0038h00 +1h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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