REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 48626 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 20% faster than plan

Finished 08:0024h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 19h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:481h48-8m11:003h00 +1h12+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:463h47-56m14:206h20 +2h33+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:464h4612:564h56-1h1816:008h00 +3h14+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:117h11-1h5219:4011h40 +4h29+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:449h4417:549h54-2h0422:4014h40 +4h56+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:4911h5019:5912h00-2h2902:1018h10 +6h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3721:3013h31-3h07none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5622:3714h3822:4714h48-3h1809:1025h10 +10h32+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0300:5917h0001:0917h10-4h0412:1028h10 +11h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4902:1218h1202:2218h22-4h3613:4529h45 +11h33+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4403:4919h49-4h5416:0032h00 +12h11+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2504:5220h5305:0221h02-5h3317:4033h40 +12h47+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0506:1022h1106:2022h21-5h5419:1035h10 +12h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2808:0024h00-6h2722:0038h00 +14h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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