REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 48520 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 25% slower than plan

Finished 23:0939h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 4h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:571h5710:072h07+1m11:003h00 +1h03+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:595h0013:095h10+17m14:206h20 +1h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:416h4214:526h52+38m16:008h00 +1h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:0010h0018:0910h10+57m19:4011h40 +1h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:4413h4422:0414h04+1h5622:4014h40 +56m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1901:1917h2001:5918h00+3h0102:1018h10 +50m+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3704:1020h1104:2020h21+3h33none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:4321h4306:0322h03+3h4809:1025h10 +3h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:4925h4909:5926h00+4h4612:1028h10 +2h21+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4912:0628h0612:1628h16+5h1813:4529h45 +1h39+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4414:3830h3915:0831h09+5h5516:0032h00 +1h21+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2517:0733h0817:2733h28+6h4217:4033h40 +32m+time
! Oberg95.412:0428h0519:1735h1719:5735h57+7h1319:1035h10 -7m+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2823:0939h10+8h4222:0038h00 -1h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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