REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 48477 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 14% slower than plan

Finished 18:5935h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 8h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:032h03-2m11:003h00 +1h06+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:595h0013:205h21+17m14:206h20 +1h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:416h4214:516h52+38m16:008h00 +1h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:0110h0218:1110h11+58m19:4011h40 +1h38+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:1313h1421:2313h24+1h2522:4014h40 +1h26+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:4715h4700:0716h07+1h2802:1018h10 +2h23+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:0019h0103:2019h20+2h23none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:4220h4304:5220h53+2h4709:1025h10 +4h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:5523h5508:0524h05+2h5212:1028h10 +4h15+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:4825h4810:0726h08+3h0013:4529h45 +3h57+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4412:1628h1712:2628h27+3h3316:0032h00 +3h43+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2514:0430h0514:1430h14+3h3917:4033h40 +3h35+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0516:2132h2116:3132h31+4h1719:1035h10 +2h49+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2818:5935h00+4h3222:0038h00 +3h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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