REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 481 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 22% slower than plan

Finished 22:1938h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 4h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:152h1610:552h56+20m11:003h00 +44m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4314:006h0114:206h21+1h1714:206h20 +19m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:327h3215:427h42+1h2816:008h00 +28m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:3910h4018:5010h50+1h3719:4011h40 +1h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:1314h1422:2314h24+2h2522:4014h40 +26m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1901:5017h5002:1018h10+3h3102:1018h10 +20m+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3704:4020h4104:5020h51+4h03none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5606:2222h2306:4322h43+4h2709:1025h10 +2h47+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0310:3926h3910:5927h00+5h3612:1028h10 +1h31+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4912:5428h5513:1429h15+6h0613:4529h45 +50m+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4415:3631h3715:5731h57+6h5316:0032h00 +23m+time
! Sawbill89.910:2526h2517:4433h4517:5433h54+7h1917:4033h40 -5m+time
! Oberg95.412:0428h0519:2735h2819:4835h48+7h2319:1035h10 -18m+time
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2822:1938h20+7h5222:0038h00 -20m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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