REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 48092 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 18% slower than plan

Finished 20:4936h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 6h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:272h2810:372h38+32m11:003h00 +32m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:105h1013:195h20+27m14:206h20 +1h10+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:416h4214:516h52+38m16:008h00 +1h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:2010h2018:2910h30+1h1719:4011h40 +1h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:1314h1422:2314h23+2h2522:4014h40 +26m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1901:0917h1001:1917h20+2h5102:1018h10 +1h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:2319h2303:3319h34+2h46none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:4720h4804:5720h58+2h5209:1025h10 +4h22+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:4924h5009:0925h10+3h4612:1028h10 +3h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4911:0227h0211:2227h22+4h1413:4529h45 +2h43+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:3929h3913:5930h00+4h5616:0032h00 +2h21+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2515:5431h5516:0432h05+5h3017:4033h40 +1h45+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0517:4033h4118:0034h00+5h3619:1035h10 +1h29+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2820:4936h50+6h2222:0038h00 +1h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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