REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 47744 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 9% faster than plan

Finished 11:2927h30

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h41m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5310:032h04-3m11:003h00 +1h07+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:364h37-7m14:206h20 +1h43+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:465h47-17m16:008h00 +2h13+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:198h20-44m19:4011h40 +3h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:4710h4718:5610h57-1h0122:4014h40 +3h53+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:0013h0021:0913h10-1h1902:1018h10 +5h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:1315h1323:2315h24-1h24none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:2316h2300:3316h33-1h3209:1025h10 +8h47+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:0919h1003:1919h19-1h5312:1028h10 +9h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4904:3820h3804:4820h49-2h1013:4529h45 +9h07+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:1922h19-2h2416:0032h00 +9h41+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2507:5423h5508:1424h15-2h3117:4033h40 +9h45+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0509:2025h2109:3125h31-2h4419:1035h10 +9h49+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2811:2927h30-2h5822:0038h00 +10h30+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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