REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 47516 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 10% slower than plan

Finished 17:4933h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:132h1410:232h24+18m11:003h00 +46m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:454h4612:554h56+3m14:206h20 +1h34+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:156h1614:256h25+12m16:008h00 +1h44+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:199h2017:299h30+17m19:4011h40 +2h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:1612h1620:2612h26+28m22:4014h40 +2h24+time
Finland50.622:1814h1922:3914h4023:1015h10+21m02:1018h10 +3h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:3017h3101:4017h40+53mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:0319h0303:2319h23+1h0809:1025h10 +6h07+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:4922h5006:5923h00+1h4712:1028h10 +5h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:0225h0309:2225h22+2h1413:4529h45 +4h42+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:2827h2911:3927h39+2h4516:0032h00 +4h31+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2513:1829h1813:3829h38+2h5317:4033h40 +4h22+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:5130h5115:1031h11+2h4719:1035h10 +4h19+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2817:4933h50+3h2222:0038h00 +4h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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