REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 47072 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 16% faster than plan

Finished 09:2025h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 17h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:431h4409:531h54-12m11:003h00 +1h16+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:503h50-53m14:206h20 +2h30+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:474h48-1h1616:008h00 +3h13+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:217h21-1h4219:4011h40 +4h19+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:539h5418:0410h04-1h5422:4014h40 +4h46+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:3911h4019:4911h50-2h3902:1018h10 +6h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3721:4013h4021:5013h51-2h57none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5622:4014h41-3h1509:1025h10 +10h29+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0300:5917h00-4h0312:1028h10 +11h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4902:3918h39-4h0913:4529h45 +11h06+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4404:2620h2704:3620h36-4h1716:0032h00 +11h33+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2505:5121h5206:0122h01-4h3417:4033h40 +11h48+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0507:0923h09-4h5519:1035h10 +12h01+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2809:2025h20-5h0722:0038h00 +12h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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