REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 46377 Restart

Christianne Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 8% slower than plan

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±3m.

Projected departures add this runner’s average stop so far, 19m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h41m old.

ultraPacer plan · Garmin MapShare · ultralive

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOutStop vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:551h5610:052h0610m-0m11:003h00 +1h04
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:424h4313:035h0321m-1m14:206h20 +1h37
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:126h1214:516h5240m+8m16:008h00 +1h48
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:509h5118:1010h1020m+47m19:4011h40 +1h49
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:0413h0421:4413h4440m+1h1622:4014h40 +1h36
Finland50.622:1814h1923:4915h5000:0016h0011m+1h3102:1018h10 +2h20
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:4517h4501:5517h5610m+1h08none
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:0819h0803:2719h2820m+1h1309:1025h10 +6h02
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:2922h3006:4922h5020m+1h2612:1028h10 +5h40
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:0225h0309:1225h1210m+2h1413:4529h45 +4h42
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:1627h1711:3727h3721m+2h3316:0032h00 +4h43
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:5828h5913:0829h0810m+2h3317:4033h40 +4h41
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:4130h4115:0131h0120m+2h3719:1035h10 +4h29
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2817:2933h30+3h0222:0038h00 +4h30

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from an ultralive aid-station report because the tracker had nothing there — those times are relayed by hand and can be off. Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. “Stop” is blank where a stop was too short to distinguish from noise — and at a ten-minute tracking interval it cannot tell a stop apart from running that same stretch slowly, so read it as time lost around the station rather than time stood still. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.