REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 46338 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 17% faster than plan

Finished 08:5024h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 18h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:471h48-9m11:003h00 +1h12+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:094h10-34m14:206h20 +2h10+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:165h16-48m16:008h00 +2h44+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:507h5116:018h01-1h1219:4011h40 +3h49+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4817:549h5518:0410h05-1h5422:4014h40 +4h46+time
Finland50.622:1814h1919:4011h40-2h3902:1018h10 +6h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3721:1713h17-3h20none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5622:1714h1822:2714h27-3h3809:1025h10 +10h52+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0301:0917h0901:1817h19-3h5412:1028h10 +11h01+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4902:2218h2302:3218h32-4h2613:4529h45 +11h22+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4404:0120h0204:1220h12-4h4216:0032h00 +11h58+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2505:2421h2505:3521h35-5h0117:4033h40 +12h15+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0506:5622h5707:0623h07-5h0819:1035h10 +12h13+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2808:5024h50-5h3722:0038h00 +13h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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