REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 46158 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 2% slower than plan

Finished 15:1931h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 11h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:052h0510:142h15+9m11:003h00 +55m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:394h4012:504h50-3m14:206h20 +1h40+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:126h1214:316h31+8m16:008h00 +1h48+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:409h4017:5910h00+37m19:4011h40 +2h00+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:3512h3620:4512h46+48m22:4014h40 +2h04+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:0915h1023:1915h20+51m02:1018h10 +3h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:5017h5102:0018h00+1h13none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:1319h1303:3219h33+1h1809:1025h10 +5h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:0922h1006:2922h30+1h0712:1028h10 +6h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4907:3923h3907:4923h50+51m13:4529h45 +6h06+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4409:2625h2709:3625h37+43m16:0032h00 +6h33+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2511:1827h1811:2827h28+53m17:4033h40 +6h22+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0512:5828h5813:0829h09+54m19:1035h10 +6h12+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2815:1931h20+52m22:0038h00 +6h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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