REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 46004 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 15% faster than plan

Finished 09:1925h20

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 17h51m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:471h47-9m11:003h00 +1h13+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:294h3013:005h00-13m14:206h20 +1h50+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:026h0214:216h22-2m16:008h00 +1h58+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:508h5016:599h00-13m19:4011h40 +2h50+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:3810h39-1h1022:4014h40 +4h01+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:4912h50-1h2902:1018h10 +5h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:2714h27-2h10none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5623:3315h3323:4315h43-2h2209:1025h10 +9h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0301:4917h50-3h1412:1028h10 +10h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4902:5918h5903:0919h09-3h4913:4529h45 +10h46+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4404:4620h4704:5720h57-3h5716:0032h00 +11h13+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2506:1922h19-4h0617:4033h40 +11h21+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0507:4023h41-4h2419:1035h10 +11h29+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2809:1925h20-5h0822:0038h00 +12h40+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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