REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 45938 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 7% faster than plan

Finished 12:1028h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 15h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:431h4409:531h54-12m11:003h00 +1h16+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:573h58-45m14:206h20 +2h22+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:115h1213:215h22-52m16:008h00 +2h48+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:018h0116:108h11-1h0219:4011h40 +3h39+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:3510h36-1h1322:4014h40 +4h04+time
Finland50.622:1814h1920:3712h38-1h4102:1018h10 +5h32+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3722:5514h5623:0615h06-1h42none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:1816h1900:2816h28-1h3709:1025h10 +8h51+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:2919h3003:3919h39-1h3412:1028h10 +8h40+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4905:0921h09-1h3913:4529h45 +8h36+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4406:5722h5807:0823h08-1h4616:0032h00 +9h02+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2508:2424h2508:3424h35-2h0117:4033h40 +9h15+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0510:0126h0110:1026h11-2h0319:1035h10 +9h09+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2812:1028h10-2h1822:0038h00 +9h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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