REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 45892 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 3% slower than plan

Finished 15:3931h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 11h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:272h2710:372h37+31m11:003h00 +33m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:105h1013:305h30+27m14:206h20 +1h10+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:326h3214:416h41+28m16:008h00 +1h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:299h3017:409h40+26m19:4011h40 +2h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:0313h0421:1413h14+1h1522:4014h40 +1h36+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:1915h2023:2915h30+1h0102:1018h10 +2h50+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:2317h2301:3317h33+46mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5602:5318h5303:0219h03+58m09:1025h10 +6h17+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:0922h1006:3022h30+1h0612:1028h10 +6h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4907:5623h5708:0624h06+1h0813:4529h45 +5h48+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4409:5625h5710:0526h06+1h1316:0032h00 +6h04+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2511:2827h2911:3927h39+1h0317:4033h40 +6h11+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0513:2029h2113:3029h31+1h1619:1035h10 +5h49+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2815:3931h40+1h1222:0038h00 +6h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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