REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 45876 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 28% slower than plan

Finished 00:1040h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 3h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:432h4410:532h54+48m11:003h00 +16m+in +out
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:596h0014:206h20+1h1714:206h20 +20m+in +out
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:277h2715:467h47+1h2316:008h00 +33m+in +out
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:4910h5019:0011h00+1h4619:4011h40 +50m+in +out
County Road 642.619:4811h4822:1314h1422:3414h34+2h2522:4014h40 +26m+in +out
Finland50.622:1814h1901:1917h2001:4017h40+3h0102:1018h10 +50m+in +out
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3704:4020h4105:0021h00+4h03none+in +out
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5606:4222h4307:1323h13+4h4709:1025h10 +2h27+in +out
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0311:0927h1011:2927h30+6h0612:1028h10 +1h00+in +out
! Cramer Road77.706:4822h4913:5629h5714:0630h07+7h0813:4529h45 -12m+in +out
! Temperance84.608:4324h4416:1632h1716:2632h26+7h3316:0032h00 -17m+in +out
! Sawbill89.910:2526h2518:0734h0818:2734h27+7h4217:4033h40 -28m+in +out
! Oberg95.412:0428h0520:3136h3120:5136h51+8h2719:1035h10 -1h21+in +out
! Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2800:1040h10+9h4322:0038h00 -2h10+in +out

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload