REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 45705 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 7% slower than plan

Finished 17:0033h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 10h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:272h2810:372h38+32m11:003h00 +32m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:205h2013:305h31+37m14:206h20 +1h00+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:516h5215:017h02+48m16:008h00 +1h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:0010h0018:2010h20+57m19:4011h40 +1h40+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:1413h1421:2313h24+1h2622:4014h40 +1h26+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:0016h0000:0916h10+1h4102:1018h10 +2h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:2018h2102:4018h41+1h43none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:5219h5304:1320h13+1h5809:1025h10 +5h17+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:2923h2907:4923h50+2h2612:1028h10 +4h41+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:2225h2209:4225h42+2h3413:4529h45 +4h23+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:2927h30+2h4616:0032h00 +4h30+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:5928h59+2h3417:4033h40 +4h41+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0514:4030h4114:5030h51+2h3619:1035h10 +4h29+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2817:0033h00+2h3322:0038h00 +5h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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