REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 45702 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 11% slower than plan

Finished 18:0034h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 9h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:032h0410:132h14+8m11:003h00 +56m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:564h56+13m14:206h20 +1h24+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:126h1214:216h22+8m16:008h00 +1h48+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:109h1017:399h40+7m19:4011h40 +2h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:4312h4420:5412h54+55m22:4014h40 +1h56+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:4915h5000:0916h10+1h3102:1018h10 +2h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:1018h1102:3018h31+1h33none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:4319h4303:5319h53+1h4809:1025h10 +5h27+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:3922h4006:4922h50+1h3712:1028h10 +5h30+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:5724h5809:0725h07+2h0913:4529h45 +4h47+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:0627h0711:1627h17+2h2316:0032h00 +4h53+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2513:1429h1513:3429h35+2h4917:4033h40 +4h25+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0515:1131h1115:2031h21+3h0719:1035h10 +3h59+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2818:0034h00+3h3322:0038h00 +4h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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