REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 45447 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 22% slower than plan

Finished 21:5037h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:551h5610:252h25-0m11:003h00 +1h04+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:554h5613:055h06+13m14:206h20 +1h24+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:426h4214:516h52+38m16:008h00 +1h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:0910h1018:2010h20+1h0619:4011h40 +1h30+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:3313h3421:4313h43+1h4522:4014h40 +1h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:2916h3000:5917h00+2h1102:1018h10 +1h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:2519h2503:3519h35+2h48none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:0321h0305:2221h23+3h0809:1025h10 +4h07+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:4924h5009:0925h09+3h4612:1028h10 +3h20+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:5226h5211:1227h12+4h0413:4529h45 +2h53+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:4629h4614:0630h07+5h0316:0032h00 +2h14+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2515:5731h5816:1832h18+5h3217:4033h40 +1h42+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0518:2134h2118:3034h31+6h1719:1035h10 +49m+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2821:5037h50+7h2222:0038h00 +10m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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