REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 45409 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 18% slower than plan

Finished 20:5036h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 6h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:042h0510:252h26+9m11:003h00 +55m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:455h4514:046h05+1h0214:206h20 +35m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:127h1215:217h21+1h0816:008h00 +48m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:3110h3118:4110h42+1h2819:4011h40 +1h09+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:3313h3421:5313h53+1h4522:4014h40 +1h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:3016h3000:4016h40+2h1102:1018h10 +1h40+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:2319h2403:4319h43+2h46none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:0821h0805:2721h27+3h1309:1025h10 +4h02+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:1025h1009:1925h20+4h0712:1028h10 +3h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4911:1227h1311:2227h23+4h2413:4529h45 +2h32+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:3629h3713:5629h57+4h5316:0032h00 +2h23+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2516:1432h1516:4532h45+5h4917:4033h40 +1h25+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0518:0734h0818:2734h28+6h0319:1035h10 +1h02+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2820:5036h50+6h2322:0038h00 +1h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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