REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 45387 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 3% faster than plan

Finished 14:0030h00

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 13h11m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:331h3409:431h43-22m11:003h00 +1h26+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4311:573h58-45m14:206h20 +2h22+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0412:564h57-1h0716:008h00 +3h03+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0315:307h30-1h3319:4011h40 +4h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4818:2610h26-1h2222:4014h40 +4h14+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:0013h0021:1013h10-1h1902:1018h10 +5h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:0015h0023:1115h11-1h37none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5600:1316h1300:2316h23-1h4209:1025h10 +8h57+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0303:3919h4004:0020h00-1h2412:1028h10 +8h30+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4905:5221h5206:0222h03-56m13:4529h45 +7h53+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4407:4923h49-54m16:0032h00 +8h11+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2509:4425h4509:5425h55-40m17:4033h40 +7h55+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0511:2127h2111:3027h31-43m19:1035h10 +7h49+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2814:0030h00-28m22:0038h00 +8h00+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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