REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 45375 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 5% slower than plan

Finished 16:1032h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 11h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:431h4409:541h54-12m11:003h00 +1h16+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:134h1312:224h23-30m14:206h20 +2h07+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:315h3213:515h52-32m16:008h00 +2h28+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:298h3016:408h40-33m19:4011h40 +3h10+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:0611h0619:1611h16-42m22:4014h40 +3h34+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:4913h5022:0014h00-29m02:1018h10 +4h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3700:3016h3100:4016h40-6mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5601:5317h5302:1318h13-2m09:1025h10 +7h17+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0305:0021h0005:1021h10-3m12:1028h10 +7h10+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4906:4222h4206:5222h52-6m13:4529h45 +7h03+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4409:0625h0609:2625h26+23m16:0032h00 +6h54+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2511:1427h1511:2427h25+49m17:4033h40 +6h25+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0513:0029h0113:2029h21+56m19:1035h10 +6h09+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2816:1032h10+1h4322:0038h00 +5h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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