REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 45129 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 16% slower than plan

Finished 19:3935h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 30% against the history — the plan has stopped describing this run; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 7h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:471h4809:571h58-8m11:003h00 +1h12+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:595h0013:105h10+17m14:206h20 +1h20+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:276h27+23m16:008h00 +1h33+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:309h31+27m19:4011h40 +2h09+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:5511h56+8m22:4014h40 +2h44+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:0015h0023:0915h10+41m02:1018h10 +3h10+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:0218h0302:2318h23+1h26none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:0220h0304:2320h23+2h0709:1025h10 +5h07+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0307:1923h2007:3923h40+2h1712:1028h10 +4h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4909:3825h39+2h5013:4529h45 +4h06+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4411:4627h4712:0628h06+3h0316:0032h00 +4h13+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2513:5429h5514:0430h04+3h2917:4033h40 +3h45+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0516:1732h1716:4732h47+4h1319:1035h10 +2h53+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2819:3935h40+5h1222:0038h00 +2h20+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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