REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 45075 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running at plan pace

Finished 13:5029h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 13h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:531h5410:042h04-2m11:003h00 +1h06+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4312:174h1812:284h28-26m14:206h20 +2h02+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0413:425h4213:525h52-22m16:008h00 +2h18+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0316:208h2016:298h30-43m19:4011h40 +3h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4819:1411h1419:3411h35-34m22:4014h40 +3h26+time
Finland50.622:1814h1921:5013h50-29m02:1018h10 +4h20+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3723:5015h5100:0016h01-47mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5601:0217h0301:1317h14-53m09:1025h10 +8h07+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0304:1020h1004:1920h20-53m12:1028h10 +8h00+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4905:5621h5606:0622h07-52m13:4529h45 +7h49+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4407:4623h4607:5523h56-57m16:0032h00 +8h14+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2509:3925h3909:5825h58-46m17:4033h40 +8h01+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0511:3127h3111:5027h51-33m19:1035h10 +7h39+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2813:5029h50-37m22:0038h00 +8h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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