REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 45014 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 19% slower than plan

Finished 20:5036h50

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 6h21m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:052h0510:442h45+9m11:003h00 +55m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:105h1013:205h20+27m14:206h20 +1h10+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:516h5215:117h12+48m16:008h00 +1h08+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:3110h3118:4110h41+1h2819:4011h40 +1h09+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:4413h4422:0414h04+1h5622:4014h40 +56m+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:0916h1000:2016h20+1h5102:1018h10 +2h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3702:4418h4503:0519h05+2h07none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5604:3320h3304:4320h43+2h3809:1025h10 +4h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0308:2024h2008:2924h30+3h1712:1028h10 +3h50+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4910:4226h4210:5226h52+3h5413:4529h45 +3h03+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:3629h3613:4629h46+4h5316:0032h00 +2h24+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2515:2931h2915:3831h39+5h0417:4033h40 +2h11+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0517:4033h4118:0134h01+5h3619:1035h10 +1h29+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2820:5036h50+6h2322:0038h00 +1h10+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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