REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 44948 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 4% slower than plan

Finished 16:1032h10

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 11h1m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5609:451h4610:052h06-10m11:003h00 +1h14+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:005h0113:105h10+17m14:206h20 +1h19+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0414:216h2214:316h32+18m16:008h00 +1h38+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0317:309h3117:409h40+28m19:4011h40 +2h09+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4820:3312h3420:5412h54+45m22:4014h40 +2h06+time
Finland50.622:1814h1923:1015h1023:1915h20+51m02:1018h10 +3h00+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3701:3017h3101:4017h41+53mnone+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5603:0219h0303:2319h23+1h0709:1025h10 +6h07+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0306:2922h2906:3822h39+1h2612:1028h10 +5h41+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4908:2824h2808:4824h49+1h4013:4529h45 +5h17+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4410:1926h19+1h3616:0032h00 +5h41+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2512:0728h0712:1728h17+1h4217:4033h40 +5h33+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0513:3729h3713:4729h48+1h3319:1035h10 +5h33+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2816:1032h10+1h4322:0038h00 +5h50+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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