REPLAY — simulated data, not real runners. race 43h11 from the 100 gun · run 44863 Restart

Christianne Lind #169 · Superior 100 · Gooseberry Falls to Caribou Highlands

Pacers Michelle, Katie, Kai, Elliot; crew Eric and Xavier

13 of 13 aid stations reached · running 22% slower than plan

Finished 21:4037h40

Projections from the newest fix on the trail, the plan weighted 70% against the history; finish typically ±8m.

Projections are built on a fix 5h31m old.

AidMileCrewBag Plan InOut vs planCutoff
Split Rock8.509:561h5610:232h2410:332h33+28m11:003h00 +36m+time
Beaver Bay18.912:434h4313:495h5014:006h00+1h0714:206h20 +30m+time
Silver Bay23.114:036h0415:317h3215:427h42+1h2816:008h00 +28m+time
Tettegouche33.417:039h0318:1910h2018:2910h30+1h1619:4011h40 +1h20+time
County Road 642.619:4811h4821:1413h1421:2413h24+1h2622:4014h40 +1h26+time
Finland50.622:1814h1900:3916h4000:5917h00+2h2102:1018h10 +1h30+time
Sonju Lake Road58.200:3716h3703:4419h4504:2420h25+3h07none+time
Crosby-Manitou62.401:5517h5605:3221h3305:4221h43+3h3709:1025h10 +3h37+time
Sugarloaf72.205:0321h0309:2925h2909:3925h39+4h2612:1028h10 +2h41+time
Cramer Road77.706:4822h4911:3227h3211:4227h42+4h4413:4529h45 +2h13+time
Temperance84.608:4324h4413:5629h5714:1630h17+5h1316:0032h00 +2h03+time
Sawbill89.910:2526h2516:2432h2516:4432h45+5h5917:4033h40 +1h15+time
Oberg95.412:0428h0518:5034h5119:0035h01+6h4619:1035h10 +19m+time
Finish · Caribou Highlands102.914:2730h2821:4037h40+7h1322:0038h00 +20m+time

Crew and drop-bag columns and every cutoff are from the race’s aid station chart (8 Aug 2026), not from the plan. “~” marks a projection, and ± its range: the 25th–75th percentile of the error of the same projection across twelve years of finishers, tight for the next station and wide for the finish; † an arrival taken from a station report (ultralive or entered by hand). Green beat the plan, amber is behind it, red is a cutoff in danger. Times switch between clock and elapsed with the link above.

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Checked 03:11 CDT · reload

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